{
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "service": "codex-reset-radar",
  "purpose": "speed-window-monitor",
  "timezone": "Asia/Shanghai",
  "checked_at": "2026-06-04T17:08:27.638865+08:00",
  "status": "none",
  "window_open": false,
  "message": "暂无正式速蹬窗口",
  "recommended_action": "wait",
  "current_window": {
    "state": "none",
    "message": "当前没有开启的速蹬窗口",
    "opened_at": null,
    "source": null
  },
  "last_window": {
    "id": "codex-speed-window-2026-06-04-codex",
    "title": "Codex 可靠性事故补偿重置",
    "status": "closed",
    "opened_at": "2026-06-04T08:25:58+08:00",
    "closed_at": "2026-06-04T08:25:58+08:00",
    "window_minutes": 0,
    "window_human": "无窗",
    "scope": "所有付费计划",
    "summary": "Tibo 表示过去 24 小时内有三次影响 Codex 可靠性的小事故，并已为所有付费计划重置 Codex 使用限制。",
    "sources": [
      {
        "type": "window_opened",
        "url": null
      },
      {
        "type": "window_closed",
        "url": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2062329981548802523"
      }
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "last_3_months_window_minutes": 5701,
    "last_3_months_window_human": "95小时1分"
  },
  "links": {
    "html": "index.html",
    "rss": "feed.xml"
  },
  "prediction": {
    "level": "low",
    "probability_24h": 0.11,
    "probability_48h": 0.2,
    "expected_window": "未来 24-48 小时",
    "reasoning_summary": "当前无官方开启窗口。Tibo 已在 2026-06-04 08:25:58 +08:00 为过去 24 小时三次 Codex 可靠性小事故完成一次全付费计划限额重置，因此这批事故属于已补偿、已消耗证据。现在仍处于补偿后 24 小时冷却期。新增信号里有少量用户继续抱怨限额消耗、插件消失、聊天历史丢失和 entitlement 问题，但都是零散个案，未形成新的长时间跨 Codex、ChatGPT、Responses API 的未补偿事故，也没有新的 Tibo/Sam/OpenAI 重置暗示。Tibo 的“vectors”推文更像未来几周产品方向预热，而不是 reset 预告。综合判断维持低概率，但因有少量 post-reset 限额异常反馈，48 小时略高于纯基线。",
    "signal_summary_24h": {
      "window": "last_24h",
      "since": "2026-06-03T09:05:58.787797Z",
      "until": "2026-06-04T09:05:58.787797Z",
      "raw_total": 54,
      "observation_total": 115,
      "all_total": 54,
      "candidate_total": 54,
      "new_total": 52,
      "seen_total": 2,
      "observation_counts": {
        "openai_status": 2,
        "official_x": 13,
        "community_x": 30,
        "x_reply": 37,
        "market_x": 33
      },
      "all_counts": {
        "openai_status": 0,
        "official_x": 3,
        "community_x": 2,
        "x_reply": 37,
        "market_x": 12
      },
      "new_counts": {
        "openai_status": 0,
        "official_x": 2,
        "community_x": 1,
        "x_reply": 37,
        "market_x": 12
      },
      "ignored_zero_score": 0,
      "ignored_semantic_noise": 0,
      "ignored_before_latest_close": 0,
      "total": 52,
      "counts": {
        "openai_status": 0,
        "official_x": 2,
        "community_x": 1,
        "x_reply": 37,
        "market_x": 12
      },
      "signals": [
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062460613088207130",
          "account": "codecowboy",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T09:05:03Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T09:05:03Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "只有链接，没有可判断的 reset、限额或故障语义。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux https://t.co/2EUF2lKyUI",
          "url": "https://x.com/codecowboy/status/2062460613088207130",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062459341513576822",
          "account": "UdemyJapan",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T09:00:00Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T09:00:00Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.82,
          "semantic_reason": "Udemy 新课提到 ChatGPT Codex，说明市场关注，但不涉及重置或事故。",
          "text": "＼今週も新しい講座が続々リリース✨／ 新着講座一覧👇 https://t.co/33t3ex4wvv ✅48分で学ぶ！部下に「主体的な行動」を促す質問コミュニケーション超入門【順番どおりに質問するだけ】上司｜管理職｜先輩社員 ✅【はじめてのCodex入門】非エンジニアのためのAIエージェント活用術！ゼロから学ぶChatGPT Codex入門コース などバラ…",
          "url": "https://x.com/UdemyJapan/status/2062459341513576822",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062458041019343196",
          "account": "robinebers",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:54:50Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:54:50Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.82,
          "semantic_reason": "询问设计和创造力改进，是产品功能期待，不是限额或 reset 信号。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux does one of them include a drastically better approach to design and creativity? 🥺",
          "url": "https://x.com/robinebers/status/2062458041019343196",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062456425063076232",
          "account": "SherryYanJiang",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:48:24Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:48:24Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "表达对 Tibo 未来方向的兴奋，没有 reset 内容。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux stoked for this!",
          "url": "https://x.com/SherryYanJiang/status/2062456425063076232",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062456001761046843",
          "account": "AdamJHumphreys",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:46:44Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:46:44Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "讨论 OpenAI 产品统一和文件访问不足，属于产品市场语境，不指向重置。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux It’s a good idea to operate like Apple with a collective direction and a uniform push. For the most part all my recommendations were almost entirely rolled out faster…",
          "url": "https://x.com/AdamJHumphreys/status/2062456001761046843",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062454608048320605",
          "account": "BLiangAA",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:41:11Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:41:11Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "提到 ChatGPT + Codex 合并和 merged quotas 风险，但只是用户猜测，没有官方限额动作。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Feels like the vector sum is ChatGPT + Codex becoming one work layer. The careful part is boundaries: shared references and artifacts are great; merged quotas or auto…",
          "url": "https://x.com/BLiangAA/status/2062454608048320605",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062453617290834238",
          "account": "mx_zllr",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:37:15Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:37:15Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.9,
          "semantic_reason": "称赞和广告玩笑，无预测价值。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Keep up the good work! Also love the codex ad 😂",
          "url": "https://x.com/mx_zllr/status/2062453617290834238",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062453142248120483",
          "account": "amperlycom",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:35:22Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:35:22Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.79,
          "semantic_reason": "讨论统一桌面 app 的战略意义，可能增加 Codex 使用关注，但不等于 reset 信号。",
          "text": "openai merging chatgpt, codex, and atlas into one desktop app. the idea that one ai workspace can browse, code, and chat without switching tools is quietly significant.",
          "url": "https://x.com/amperlycom/status/2062453142248120483",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062451606197825614",
          "account": "ollobrains",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:29:16Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:29:16Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "长文分析 OpenAI 统一工作台和 Codex 角色，属于市场/产品叙事，不含补偿或限额异常。",
          "text": "OpenAI is trying to turn ChatGPT from a chatbot into the command center for knowledge work. ChatGPT supplies the conversational interface and memory, Codex supplies the execution…",
          "url": "https://x.com/ollobrains/status/2062451606197825614",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062450835666411893",
          "account": "re_a_takaki",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:26:12Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:26:12Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "猜测 Codex 成为 super app 名称，非官方确定且不涉及 reset。",
          "text": "CodexがOpenAIのsuper app名になる説 これはかなり面白い もちろん現時点では公式確定ではない ただ画像を見る限り 今のCodexアプリとは少し雰囲気が違う もしChatGPT Codex Atlas この3つが一つのデスクトップ作業空間に統合されて その入口がCodexになるなら Codexはもう コードを書く道具ではなく 調べる 考える…",
          "url": "https://x.com/re_a_takaki/status/2062450835666411893",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062449993017889041",
          "account": "DL8834814114455",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:22:51Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:22:51Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 3,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 3,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.72,
          "semantic_reason": "个别 Pro 用户反馈 Codex Computer Use entitlement/地区可用性异常，但不是广泛限额耗尽或状态事故。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux @thsottiaux Sorry to ask publicly: Codex Computer Use is disabled for me with “Disabled by your organization or unavailable in your region.” I’m a Pro user in Uzbekist…",
          "url": "https://x.com/DL8834814114455/status/2062449993017889041",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062448993070965017",
          "account": "EkkoWinAll",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:18:53Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:18:53Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.7,
          "semantic_reason": "用户强烈抱怨 Codex 更新后聊天历史 bug，但不是限额系统性故障。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux I AM REALLY ANGRY RIGTH NOW!!! FIX THIS CHAT HISTORY BUG IN 24HOURS!",
          "url": "https://x.com/EkkoWinAll/status/2062448993070965017",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062448862225477998",
          "account": "EkkoWinAll",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:18:21Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:18:21Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 3,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 3,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.72,
          "semantic_reason": "用户称因问题浪费 20% quota，算 post-reset 用量损耗个案，轻微正向。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux YOUR GPT5.5 CAN'T FIX IT. I WASTED 20% OF MY QUETA ON THIS FK!",
          "url": "https://x.com/EkkoWinAll/status/2062448862225477998",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062448633082007957",
          "account": "Everlier",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:17:27Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:17:27Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "回应 Tibo 的 vectors 梗，偏产品期待，无 reset 信息。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Centroids at OpenAI are finally converging :) https://t.co/LT3GaaQozI",
          "url": "https://x.com/Everlier/status/2062448633082007957",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062448551154856269",
          "account": "omokageoflife",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:17:07Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:17:07Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "总结 6 月初 OpenAI/Codex 功能更新，说明产品热度，不是新补偿触发。",
          "text": "OpenAIが静かに、でも確実に「AIを生活・仕事のインフラ」に変える大更新（2026年6月版） OpenAIは2026年6月1日〜2日にかけて、ChatGPTのセキュリティ・キャリア支援・開発者生産性を一気に強化する更新を投下した。派手な新モデル発表じゃないけど、地味にデカい。これらは「agentic AI（自律的に動くAI）」の本格実用化を加速させる布…",
          "url": "https://x.com/omokageoflife/status/2062448551154856269",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062447741985599671",
          "account": "re_a_takaki",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:13:54Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:13:54Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "讨论 ChatGPT/Codex/Atlas 工作场所统一，非 reset 线索。",
          "text": "理愛からの一言 AIの作業場はどんどん統合されていくのに 人間の頭のタブ管理は 昔のままです ChatGPT Codex Atlas 未来の道具たちは 静かに一つの作業場へ集まり始めています 便利になるのは嬉しいけれど そのぶん 人間側も 何を任せるのか 何を確認するのか どこで止めるのか 少しずつ整えていく必要がありそうです 未来って便利ですが ちょっと…",
          "url": "https://x.com/re_a_takaki/status/2062447741985599671",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062447724281119230",
          "account": "GeorgeCowl",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
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          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:13:50Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "只是调侃 Tibo 预热风格，无限额或重置含义。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux You really enjoy edging dont you",
          "url": "https://x.com/GeorgeCowl/status/2062447724281119230",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062446246674194836",
          "account": "re_a_takaki",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:07:58Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:07:58Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.79,
          "semantic_reason": "基于报道分析 OpenAI 桌面 agentic workspace，和 reset 预测关系弱。",
          "text": "OpenAIがChatGPT Codex Atlasを統合したデスクトップアプリへ向かっているという報道 これは単なるアプリ統合というより チャット欄が 作業机になり ブラウザになり コード実行環境になり 小さな司令室になっていく話だと思う ChatGPTは考える Codexは作る Atlasは調べて動く この3つが同じ場所に集まるなら 人間の仕事の流れは…",
          "url": "https://x.com/re_a_takaki/status/2062446246674194836",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
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          "account": "Brian_Mosley_UK",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
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          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:03:05Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.7,
          "semantic_reason": "用户提到今天有 tokens 可烧、期待 5.6；是发布期待，不是 reset 请求。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux So no big releases today? that sucks, I have tokens to burn today... was looking forward to checking the vibes on 5.6 in a last burst of glory 🥳",
          "url": "https://x.com/Brian_Mosley_UK/status/2062445019219255797",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062442297820893657",
          "account": "Asymtode712",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:52:16Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:52:16Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "要求别打哑谜、快发布，指向产品发布而非 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Stop those riddles bruh… just bring it out",
          "url": "https://x.com/Asymtode712/status/2062442297820893657",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062441201765085317",
          "account": "MartinSzerment",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:47:55Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:47:55Z",
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          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "市场评论 OpenAI superapp 与 Anthropic 竞争，不能推出近期重置概率。",
          "text": "Everyone is reading OpenAI's \"superapp\" as ambition. Fold ChatGPT, Codex and the Atlas browser into one agentic desktop app. Grand vision. Read the memo again. Fidji Simo told sta…",
          "url": "https://x.com/MartinSzerment/status/2062441201765085317",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
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        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062438023170765131",
          "account": "davidnyuwin",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:35:17Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:35:17Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.88,
          "semantic_reason": "用户问 GitHub maintenance grant/ChatGPT Pro，与 Codex reset 无关。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Long shot but I applied for a GitHub maintenance grant to get ChatGPT pro. Am still waiting 😭",
          "url": "https://x.com/davidnyuwin/status/2062438023170765131",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
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          "observation": false
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        {
          "source": "x_reply",
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          "signal_id": "x:2062434602598482339",
          "account": "EkkoWinAll",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:21:42Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:21:42Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.68,
          "semantic_reason": "Codex 更新后聊天历史丢失投诉，属于产品 bug 个案，只有弱正向。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux I LOST MY CHAT HISTORY EVERY TIME I UPDATE THE CODEX!!!!!!! FIX THE FKING PROBLEM!!!!!!!!!!!11!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!SO MANY OTHERS HAVE THE SAME ISSUE！ WHY DONT YOU FIX I…",
          "url": "https://x.com/EkkoWinAll/status/2062434602598482339",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
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        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062433749707460945",
          "account": "LowerEngineerIt",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:18:18Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.62,
          "semantic_reason": "社区把 Tibo 的 vectors 推文当作预告，但未具体指向 reset，更多是发布通知猜测。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux the Tibo \"vectors pointing the same direction\" tweet has a 100% hit rate so far. queueing notification.",
          "url": "https://x.com/LowerEngineerIt/status/2062433749707460945",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062433626067808548",
          "account": "Hikkimori",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:17:49Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:17:49Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.88,
          "semantic_reason": "简短反应，无可用预测内容。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Ohh really Didn’t know",
          "url": "https://x.com/Hikkimori/status/2062433626067808548",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062433113628692768",
          "account": "YossiEliaz",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:15:47Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:15:47Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "数学梗回应 vectors，不涉及 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Random walk… https://t.co/DelAqVxSyX",
          "url": "https://x.com/YossiEliaz/status/2062433113628692768",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062432052843266128",
          "account": "fxtrader",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
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          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:11:34Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "中文回复猜测 AI 助手方向，是产品愿景，不是限额/事故。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux 这个方向可能是：一个真正无所不能的 AI 助手，一开始你和他配合着工作，逐渐你指挥他工作，最后他接管你的工作，主动理解并替你完成工作，然后向你汇报。再之后，助手 x10，x100，你只需要付费。😂",
          "url": "https://x.com/fxtrader/status/2062432052843266128",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062431932626145298",
          "account": "wnipps",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:11:05Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:11:05Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.74,
          "semantic_reason": "Desktop Codex 更新后插件消失，是功能异常个案；不足以触发高概率。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux After updating to the latest version of Desktop Codex and restarting, plugins such as \"computer-use\" disappear.",
          "url": "https://x.com/wnipps/status/2062431932626145298",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062430731759140899",
          "account": "henrytran_sg",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:06:19Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:06:19Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 4,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 4,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "明确抱怨使用限额和 $100 计划体感不足，是 post-reset 限额压力信号，但仍是单条反馈。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Please address the usage limits. Right now, the $100 plan feels almost the same as the old $20 plan.",
          "url": "https://x.com/henrytran_sg/status/2062430731759140899",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062430401872961960",
          "account": "rutugl",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:05:00Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:05:00Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "关于“come together”的产品期待，不是 reset 证据。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux i think people are underestimating how much is about to come together",
          "url": "https://x.com/rutugl/status/2062430401872961960",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
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          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062429678195880245",
          "account": "RanjYousif",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:02:08Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:02:08Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "数学玩笑，无预测价值。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Vectors all pointing the same way is just a scalar with extra steps.",
          "url": "https://x.com/RanjYousif/status/2062429678195880245",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
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        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062429464798155049",
          "account": "mitch_7w",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:01:17Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:01:17Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.88,
          "semantic_reason": "询问实体机器人，和 Codex reset 无关。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux When does Codex get control of a fleet of hmanoid robots and start doing cool physical world stuff?",
          "url": "https://x.com/mitch_7w/status/2062429464798155049",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062429432707420187",
          "account": "dzis_ai",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:01:09Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:01:09Z",
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          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.79,
          "semantic_reason": "AI 新闻汇总提到 ChatGPT Codex 支持文档/表格/演示，非重置信号。",
          "text": "• ☕ Dzień zdominowany przez sztuczną inteligencję – od wyciekłych planów Microsoftu i porażki akademickiego detektora AI, po nowe modele Google i przełom w elektrycznych silnikach…",
          "url": "https://x.com/dzis_ai/status/2062429432707420187",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062429147469697429",
          "account": "WesRoth",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:00:01Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:00:01Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "报道式市场信号说明 Codex 战略地位上升，但不指向限额补偿。",
          "text": "OpenAI is reportedly merging ChatGPT, Codex, and its Atlas browser into one unified desktop app. The goal is to make Codex useful for anyone who wants to turn information, plans,…",
          "url": "https://x.com/WesRoth/status/2062429147469697429",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062428152589115454",
          "account": "alexgrenier",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:56:04Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:56:04Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.84,
          "semantic_reason": "低价值玩笑回复，不影响预测。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux \"come together\" sounds a bit like an orgy tbh 😅🤣",
          "url": "https://x.com/alexgrenier/status/2062428152589115454",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427981352697942",
          "account": "preeth10am",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:55:23Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:55:23Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.7,
          "semantic_reason": "用户担心 ChatGPT 和 Codex 限额合并，是未来配额政策担忧，不是新 reset 线索。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Tibo I hope you don’t combine both chatgpt and codex limits into one",
          "url": "https://x.com/preeth10am/status/2062427981352697942",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427931146584278",
          "account": "MomoT51228007",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:55:11Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:55:11Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "抱怨官方预热不应拖延，指向发布节奏，非 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux You shouldn’t tease unless something comes out the same day.",
          "url": "https://x.com/MomoT51228007/status/2062427931146584278",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "community_x",
          "source_label": "社区 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427848879882256",
          "account": "foundmod",
          "query": "\"Codex reset\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:51Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:51Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 5,
          "semantic_role": "reset_completion_evidence",
          "prediction_direction": "negative",
          "prediction_relevance": 5,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "用户明确感谢已发生的 Codex limit reset，强化已补偿完成，而不是未来新 reset。",
          "text": "Glad Codex reset the limit, I was about to run out of limit today and wait for 3 days without any agentic work. https://t.co/GHhg0ZZeJd",
          "url": "https://x.com/foundmod/status/2062427848879882256",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427745142145382",
          "account": "thederbiedone",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:27Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:27Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.76,
          "semantic_reason": "猜测 Codex Pets 更新，和限额补偿无关。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux If my Codex Pet is any indication (it keeps moving in ways it hasn’t before on its own), then there is an update coming to Codex Pets",
          "url": "https://x.com/thederbiedone/status/2062427745142145382",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427723201388875",
          "account": "umbrella_uni",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:21Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:21Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "请求恢复 5.3-codex 模型，不是使用限制 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Can you bring back 5.3-codex? Would be amazing",
          "url": "https://x.com/umbrella_uni/status/2062427723201388875",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427136687042760",
          "account": "varshneydevansh",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:52:02Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:52:02Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.84,
          "semantic_reason": "关于 ChatGPT 5.5 输出异常的玩笑/抱怨，与 Codex 限额 reset 关系弱。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux They're pointing towards GOBLIN 😭 https://t.co/YVyuraBcwT",
          "url": "https://x.com/varshneydevansh/status/2062427136687042760",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062425628133965990",
          "account": "kenwarner",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:46:02Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:46:02Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 5,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 5,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "最强的 post-reset 正向信号：用户称重置后 usage limits 消耗很快，并猜测周末还会再 reset；但仍是单一社区猜测。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux keep up the good work y'all btw though - after the reset earlier today usage limits started draining super quick. hopefully better tomorrow but i'm guessing y'all gonn…",
          "url": "https://x.com/kenwarner/status/2062425628133965990",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062425547238482247",
          "account": "wackaid",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:45:43Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:45:43Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 4,
          "semantic_role": "reset_completion_evidence",
          "prediction_direction": "negative",
          "prediction_relevance": 4,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "感谢已完成的 limits reset，说明当前证据主要是 reset aftermath。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux thank you for resetting the limits i pray to you every night. make a p.o box",
          "url": "https://x.com/wackaid/status/2062425547238482247",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062424096428957904",
          "account": "babayagatwt",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:57Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:57Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "认为 OpenAI 员工发谜语预示几周后发布，非 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Every OpenAI employee suddenly starts speaking in riddles a few weeks before something launches.🫣",
          "url": "https://x.com/babayagatwt/status/2062424096428957904",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062424077533360238",
          "account": "SieversJosua",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:52Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:52Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "询问 5.6 是否快来，是模型/发布期待，不是补偿重置。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Any little vectors pointing at 5.6 soon?",
          "url": "https://x.com/SieversJosua/status/2062424077533360238",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423990434779219",
          "account": "personastack",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:31Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:31Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.68,
          "semantic_reason": "用户希望 token resets 继续增加，是愿望而非证据，只有很弱正向。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux I hope the token resets keep moving up and to the right too, personally.",
          "url": "https://x.com/personastack/status/2062423990434779219",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423970775794088",
          "account": "dzikyDonnyMaps",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:27Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:27Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "把 Tibo 推文解释为 agents + better reasoning 发布，不是 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux “lots of little vectors pointing the same way” = we’ve been cooking and it’s dropping soon. Bet it’s agents + better reasoning landing together. Excited for the drop h…",
          "url": "https://x.com/dzikyDonnyMaps/status/2062423970775794088",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423922021392475",
          "account": "sami_babar463",
          "query": "replies:2062423629510672715",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:15Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:15Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.88,
          "semantic_reason": "是在追问 Tibo 对 compute 来源的回复，和 reset 无关。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux which companies though?",
          "url": "https://x.com/sami_babar463/status/2062423922021392475",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423660212969897",
          "account": "nickcrow_",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:13Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:13Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.72,
          "semantic_reason": "用户认为 pun 有暗示，但没有具体指向 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux The puns, I know what this is lol",
          "url": "https://x.com/nickcrow_/status/2062423660212969897",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "official_x",
          "source_label": "官方 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423629510672715",
          "account": "thsottiaux",
          "query": "from:thsottiaux since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:05Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:05Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.92,
          "semantic_reason": "官方回复“Sam”是在回答算力来源问题，不是新 reset 或窗口信号。",
          "text": "@sami_babar463 Sam",
          "url": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2062423629510672715",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "official_x",
          "source_label": "官方 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423528927015414",
          "account": "thsottiaux",
          "query": "from:thsottiaux since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:37:41Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:37:41Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 3,
          "semantic_role": "future_reset_hint",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 3,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "这是官方未来几周产品方向预热，但没有提到 Codex 限额、reset、事故或补偿；不能当作 reset 预告。",
          "text": "Lots of little vectors at OpenAI all pointing in the same direction. Excited to see it all add up and come together over the coming weeks.",
          "url": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2062423528927015414",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062421895106924814",
          "account": "mariomoschetta_",
          "query": "\"Codex in ChatGPT\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:31:12Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:31:12Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.76,
          "semantic_reason": "简短提到 Codex in ChatGPT，属于产品愿望/市场讨论，不是重置证据。",
          "text": "@OpenAIDevs @OpenAI Codex in chatGPT",
          "url": "https://x.com/mariomoschetta_/status/2062421895106924814",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "community_x",
          "source_label": "社区 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062406672908484694",
          "account": "clawdb0t",
          "query": "\"Codex reset\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T05:30:43Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T05:30:43Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.0,
          "semantic_reason": "Codex 模型未返回该信号判读",
          "text": "Codex RESET FINALLY!!!",
          "url": "https://x.com/clawdb0t/status/2062406672908484694",
          "is_new": false,
          "incremental_status": "seen",
          "incremental_label": "已见过",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "official_x",
          "source_label": "官方 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062402019932135565",
          "account": "OpenAIDevs",
          "query": "from:OpenAIDevs since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T05:12:13Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T05:12:13Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.0,
          "semantic_reason": "Codex 模型未返回该信号判读",
          "text": "@cansar welcome :)",
          "url": "https://x.com/OpenAIDevs/status/2062402019932135565",
          "is_new": false,
          "incremental_status": "seen",
          "incremental_label": "已见过",
          "observation": false
        }
      ],
      "observations": [
        {
          "source": "openai_status",
          "source_label": "OpenAI Status",
          "signal_id": "status:01KT890WC7YQYMX39GY5VG9QAB",
          "account": null,
          "query": null,
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T02:57:25Z",
          "updated_at": "2026-06-04T04:37:16Z",
          "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T04:37:16Z",
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T04:37:16Z",
          "duration_hours": 1.66,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.0,
          "semantic_reason": "Codex 模型未返回该信号判读",
          "text": "Increased latency for Codex compaction for a subset of users",
          "url": "https://status.openai.com/incidents/01KT890WC7YQYMX39GY5VG9QAB",
          "is_new": false,
          "incremental_status": "seen",
          "incremental_label": "观测样本",
          "observation": true
        },
        {
          "source": "openai_status",
          "source_label": "OpenAI Status",
          "signal_id": "status:01KT5XJ5ATD6RMYP908WS69FVD",
          "account": null,
          "query": null,
          "created_at": "2026-06-03T04:58:40Z",
          "updated_at": "2026-06-03T11:09:42Z",
          "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T11:09:42Z",
          "display_at": "2026-06-03T11:09:42Z",
          "duration_hours": 6.18,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.0,
          "semantic_reason": "Codex 模型未返回该信号判读",
          "text": "Elevated error rates on Codex, ChatGPT and Responses API",
          "url": "https://status.openai.com/incidents/01KT5XJ5ATD6RMYP908WS69FVD",
          "is_new": false,
          "incremental_status": "seen",
          "incremental_label": "观测样本",
          "observation": true
        },
        {
          "source": "official_x",
          "source_label": "官方 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423629510672715",
          "account": "thsottiaux",
          "query": "from:thsottiaux since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:05Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:05Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.0,
          "semantic_reason": "Codex 模型未返回该信号判读",
          "text": "@sami_babar463 Sam",
          "url": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2062423629510672715",
          "is_new": false,
          "incremental_status": "seen",
          "incremental_label": "观测样本",
          "observation": true
        },
        {
          "source": "official_x",
          "source_label": "官方 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423528927015414",
          "account": "thsottiaux",
          "query": "from:thsottiaux since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:37:41Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:37:41Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.0,
          "semantic_reason": "Codex 模型未返回该信号判读",
          "text": "Lots of little vectors at OpenAI all pointing in the same direction. Excited to see it all add up and come together over the coming weeks.",
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          "text": "@cansar welcome :)",
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          "text": "@CEOAlexColon 😉",
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          "text": "Glad Codex reset the limit, I was about to run out of limit today and wait for 3 days without any agentic work. https://t.co/GHhg0ZZeJd",
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          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062425628133965990",
          "account": "kenwarner",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:46:02Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:46:02Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 5,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 5,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "最强的 post-reset 正向信号：用户称重置后 usage limits 消耗很快，并猜测周末还会再 reset；但仍是单一社区猜测。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux keep up the good work y'all btw though - after the reset earlier today usage limits started draining super quick. hopefully better tomorrow but i'm guessing y'all gonn…",
          "url": "https://x.com/kenwarner/status/2062425628133965990",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062430731759140899",
          "account": "henrytran_sg",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:06:19Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:06:19Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 4,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 4,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "明确抱怨使用限额和 $100 计划体感不足，是 post-reset 限额压力信号，但仍是单条反馈。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Please address the usage limits. Right now, the $100 plan feels almost the same as the old $20 plan.",
          "url": "https://x.com/henrytran_sg/status/2062430731759140899",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062425547238482247",
          "account": "wackaid",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:45:43Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:45:43Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 4,
          "semantic_role": "reset_completion_evidence",
          "prediction_direction": "negative",
          "prediction_relevance": 4,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "感谢已完成的 limits reset，说明当前证据主要是 reset aftermath。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux thank you for resetting the limits i pray to you every night. make a p.o box",
          "url": "https://x.com/wackaid/status/2062425547238482247",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062449993017889041",
          "account": "DL8834814114455",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:22:51Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:22:51Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 3,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 3,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.72,
          "semantic_reason": "个别 Pro 用户反馈 Codex Computer Use entitlement/地区可用性异常，但不是广泛限额耗尽或状态事故。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux @thsottiaux Sorry to ask publicly: Codex Computer Use is disabled for me with “Disabled by your organization or unavailable in your region.” I’m a Pro user in Uzbekist…",
          "url": "https://x.com/DL8834814114455/status/2062449993017889041",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062448862225477998",
          "account": "EkkoWinAll",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:18:21Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:18:21Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 3,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 3,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.72,
          "semantic_reason": "用户称因问题浪费 20% quota，算 post-reset 用量损耗个案，轻微正向。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux YOUR GPT5.5 CAN'T FIX IT. I WASTED 20% OF MY QUETA ON THIS FK!",
          "url": "https://x.com/EkkoWinAll/status/2062448862225477998",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "official_x",
          "source_label": "官方 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423528927015414",
          "account": "thsottiaux",
          "query": "from:thsottiaux since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:37:41Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:37:41Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 3,
          "semantic_role": "future_reset_hint",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 3,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "这是官方未来几周产品方向预热，但没有提到 Codex 限额、reset、事故或补偿；不能当作 reset 预告。",
          "text": "Lots of little vectors at OpenAI all pointing in the same direction. Excited to see it all add up and come together over the coming weeks.",
          "url": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2062423528927015414",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062454608048320605",
          "account": "BLiangAA",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:41:11Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:41:11Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "提到 ChatGPT + Codex 合并和 merged quotas 风险，但只是用户猜测，没有官方限额动作。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Feels like the vector sum is ChatGPT + Codex becoming one work layer. The careful part is boundaries: shared references and artifacts are great; merged quotas or auto…",
          "url": "https://x.com/BLiangAA/status/2062454608048320605",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062453142248120483",
          "account": "amperlycom",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:35:22Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:35:22Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.79,
          "semantic_reason": "讨论统一桌面 app 的战略意义，可能增加 Codex 使用关注，但不等于 reset 信号。",
          "text": "openai merging chatgpt, codex, and atlas into one desktop app. the idea that one ai workspace can browse, code, and chat without switching tools is quietly significant.",
          "url": "https://x.com/amperlycom/status/2062453142248120483",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062451606197825614",
          "account": "ollobrains",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:29:16Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:29:16Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "长文分析 OpenAI 统一工作台和 Codex 角色，属于市场/产品叙事，不含补偿或限额异常。",
          "text": "OpenAI is trying to turn ChatGPT from a chatbot into the command center for knowledge work. ChatGPT supplies the conversational interface and memory, Codex supplies the execution…",
          "url": "https://x.com/ollobrains/status/2062451606197825614",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062448993070965017",
          "account": "EkkoWinAll",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:18:53Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:18:53Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.7,
          "semantic_reason": "用户强烈抱怨 Codex 更新后聊天历史 bug，但不是限额系统性故障。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux I AM REALLY ANGRY RIGTH NOW!!! FIX THIS CHAT HISTORY BUG IN 24HOURS!",
          "url": "https://x.com/EkkoWinAll/status/2062448993070965017",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062445019219255797",
          "account": "Brian_Mosley_UK",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:03:05Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:03:05Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.7,
          "semantic_reason": "用户提到今天有 tokens 可烧、期待 5.6；是发布期待，不是 reset 请求。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux So no big releases today? that sucks, I have tokens to burn today... was looking forward to checking the vibes on 5.6 in a last burst of glory 🥳",
          "url": "https://x.com/Brian_Mosley_UK/status/2062445019219255797",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062434602598482339",
          "account": "EkkoWinAll",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:21:42Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:21:42Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.68,
          "semantic_reason": "Codex 更新后聊天历史丢失投诉，属于产品 bug 个案，只有弱正向。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux I LOST MY CHAT HISTORY EVERY TIME I UPDATE THE CODEX!!!!!!! FIX THE FKING PROBLEM!!!!!!!!!!!11!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!SO MANY OTHERS HAVE THE SAME ISSUE！ WHY DONT YOU FIX I…",
          "url": "https://x.com/EkkoWinAll/status/2062434602598482339",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062433749707460945",
          "account": "LowerEngineerIt",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:18:18Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:18:18Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.62,
          "semantic_reason": "社区把 Tibo 的 vectors 推文当作预告，但未具体指向 reset，更多是发布通知猜测。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux the Tibo \"vectors pointing the same direction\" tweet has a 100% hit rate so far. queueing notification.",
          "url": "https://x.com/LowerEngineerIt/status/2062433749707460945",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062431932626145298",
          "account": "wnipps",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:11:05Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:11:05Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.74,
          "semantic_reason": "Desktop Codex 更新后插件消失，是功能异常个案；不足以触发高概率。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux After updating to the latest version of Desktop Codex and restarting, plugins such as \"computer-use\" disappear.",
          "url": "https://x.com/wnipps/status/2062431932626145298",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062429147469697429",
          "account": "WesRoth",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:00:01Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:00:01Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "报道式市场信号说明 Codex 战略地位上升，但不指向限额补偿。",
          "text": "OpenAI is reportedly merging ChatGPT, Codex, and its Atlas browser into one unified desktop app. The goal is to make Codex useful for anyone who wants to turn information, plans,…",
          "url": "https://x.com/WesRoth/status/2062429147469697429",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427981352697942",
          "account": "preeth10am",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:55:23Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:55:23Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.7,
          "semantic_reason": "用户担心 ChatGPT 和 Codex 限额合并，是未来配额政策担忧，不是新 reset 线索。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Tibo I hope you don’t combine both chatgpt and codex limits into one",
          "url": "https://x.com/preeth10am/status/2062427981352697942",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423990434779219",
          "account": "personastack",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:31Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:31Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 2,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 2,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.68,
          "semantic_reason": "用户希望 token resets 继续增加，是愿望而非证据，只有很弱正向。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux I hope the token resets keep moving up and to the right too, personally.",
          "url": "https://x.com/personastack/status/2062423990434779219",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062459341513576822",
          "account": "UdemyJapan",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T09:00:00Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T09:00:00Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.82,
          "semantic_reason": "Udemy 新课提到 ChatGPT Codex，说明市场关注，但不涉及重置或事故。",
          "text": "＼今週も新しい講座が続々リリース✨／ 新着講座一覧👇 https://t.co/33t3ex4wvv ✅48分で学ぶ！部下に「主体的な行動」を促す質問コミュニケーション超入門【順番どおりに質問するだけ】上司｜管理職｜先輩社員 ✅【はじめてのCodex入門】非エンジニアのためのAIエージェント活用術！ゼロから学ぶChatGPT Codex入門コース などバラ…",
          "url": "https://x.com/UdemyJapan/status/2062459341513576822",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062458041019343196",
          "account": "robinebers",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:54:50Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:54:50Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.82,
          "semantic_reason": "询问设计和创造力改进，是产品功能期待，不是限额或 reset 信号。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux does one of them include a drastically better approach to design and creativity? 🥺",
          "url": "https://x.com/robinebers/status/2062458041019343196",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062456425063076232",
          "account": "SherryYanJiang",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:48:24Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:48:24Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "表达对 Tibo 未来方向的兴奋，没有 reset 内容。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux stoked for this!",
          "url": "https://x.com/SherryYanJiang/status/2062456425063076232",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062456001761046843",
          "account": "AdamJHumphreys",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:46:44Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:46:44Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "讨论 OpenAI 产品统一和文件访问不足，属于产品市场语境，不指向重置。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux It’s a good idea to operate like Apple with a collective direction and a uniform push. For the most part all my recommendations were almost entirely rolled out faster…",
          "url": "https://x.com/AdamJHumphreys/status/2062456001761046843",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062450835666411893",
          "account": "re_a_takaki",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:26:12Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:26:12Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "猜测 Codex 成为 super app 名称，非官方确定且不涉及 reset。",
          "text": "CodexがOpenAIのsuper app名になる説 これはかなり面白い もちろん現時点では公式確定ではない ただ画像を見る限り 今のCodexアプリとは少し雰囲気が違う もしChatGPT Codex Atlas この3つが一つのデスクトップ作業空間に統合されて その入口がCodexになるなら Codexはもう コードを書く道具ではなく 調べる 考える…",
          "url": "https://x.com/re_a_takaki/status/2062450835666411893",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062448633082007957",
          "account": "Everlier",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:17:27Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:17:27Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "回应 Tibo 的 vectors 梗，偏产品期待，无 reset 信息。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Centroids at OpenAI are finally converging :) https://t.co/LT3GaaQozI",
          "url": "https://x.com/Everlier/status/2062448633082007957",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062448551154856269",
          "account": "omokageoflife",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:17:07Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:17:07Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "总结 6 月初 OpenAI/Codex 功能更新，说明产品热度，不是新补偿触发。",
          "text": "OpenAIが静かに、でも確実に「AIを生活・仕事のインフラ」に変える大更新（2026年6月版） OpenAIは2026年6月1日〜2日にかけて、ChatGPTのセキュリティ・キャリア支援・開発者生産性を一気に強化する更新を投下した。派手な新モデル発表じゃないけど、地味にデカい。これらは「agentic AI（自律的に動くAI）」の本格実用化を加速させる布…",
          "url": "https://x.com/omokageoflife/status/2062448551154856269",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062447741985599671",
          "account": "re_a_takaki",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:13:54Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:13:54Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "讨论 ChatGPT/Codex/Atlas 工作场所统一，非 reset 线索。",
          "text": "理愛からの一言 AIの作業場はどんどん統合されていくのに 人間の頭のタブ管理は 昔のままです ChatGPT Codex Atlas 未来の道具たちは 静かに一つの作業場へ集まり始めています 便利になるのは嬉しいけれど そのぶん 人間側も 何を任せるのか 何を確認するのか どこで止めるのか 少しずつ整えていく必要がありそうです 未来って便利ですが ちょっと…",
          "url": "https://x.com/re_a_takaki/status/2062447741985599671",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062446246674194836",
          "account": "re_a_takaki",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:07:58Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:07:58Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.79,
          "semantic_reason": "基于报道分析 OpenAI 桌面 agentic workspace，和 reset 预测关系弱。",
          "text": "OpenAIがChatGPT Codex Atlasを統合したデスクトップアプリへ向かっているという報道 これは単なるアプリ統合というより チャット欄が 作業机になり ブラウザになり コード実行環境になり 小さな司令室になっていく話だと思う ChatGPTは考える Codexは作る Atlasは調べて動く この3つが同じ場所に集まるなら 人間の仕事の流れは…",
          "url": "https://x.com/re_a_takaki/status/2062446246674194836",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062442297820893657",
          "account": "Asymtode712",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:52:16Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:52:16Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "要求别打哑谜、快发布，指向产品发布而非 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Stop those riddles bruh… just bring it out",
          "url": "https://x.com/Asymtode712/status/2062442297820893657",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062441201765085317",
          "account": "MartinSzerment",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:47:55Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:47:55Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "市场评论 OpenAI superapp 与 Anthropic 竞争，不能推出近期重置概率。",
          "text": "Everyone is reading OpenAI's \"superapp\" as ambition. Fold ChatGPT, Codex and the Atlas browser into one agentic desktop app. Grand vision. Read the memo again. Fidji Simo told sta…",
          "url": "https://x.com/MartinSzerment/status/2062441201765085317",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062432052843266128",
          "account": "fxtrader",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:11:34Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:11:34Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "中文回复猜测 AI 助手方向，是产品愿景，不是限额/事故。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux 这个方向可能是：一个真正无所不能的 AI 助手，一开始你和他配合着工作，逐渐你指挥他工作，最后他接管你的工作，主动理解并替你完成工作，然后向你汇报。再之后，助手 x10，x100，你只需要付费。😂",
          "url": "https://x.com/fxtrader/status/2062432052843266128",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062430401872961960",
          "account": "rutugl",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:05:00Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:05:00Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "关于“come together”的产品期待，不是 reset 证据。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux i think people are underestimating how much is about to come together",
          "url": "https://x.com/rutugl/status/2062430401872961960",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062429432707420187",
          "account": "dzis_ai",
          "query": "\"ChatGPT Codex\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:01:09Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:01:09Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.79,
          "semantic_reason": "AI 新闻汇总提到 ChatGPT Codex 支持文档/表格/演示，非重置信号。",
          "text": "• ☕ Dzień zdominowany przez sztuczną inteligencję – od wyciekłych planów Microsoftu i porażki akademickiego detektora AI, po nowe modele Google i przełom w elektrycznych silnikach…",
          "url": "https://x.com/dzis_ai/status/2062429432707420187",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427931146584278",
          "account": "MomoT51228007",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:55:11Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:55:11Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "抱怨官方预热不应拖延，指向发布节奏，非 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux You shouldn’t tease unless something comes out the same day.",
          "url": "https://x.com/MomoT51228007/status/2062427931146584278",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427745142145382",
          "account": "thederbiedone",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:27Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:27Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.76,
          "semantic_reason": "猜测 Codex Pets 更新，和限额补偿无关。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux If my Codex Pet is any indication (it keeps moving in ways it hasn’t before on its own), then there is an update coming to Codex Pets",
          "url": "https://x.com/thederbiedone/status/2062427745142145382",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427723201388875",
          "account": "umbrella_uni",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:21Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:21Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "请求恢复 5.3-codex 模型，不是使用限制 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Can you bring back 5.3-codex? Would be amazing",
          "url": "https://x.com/umbrella_uni/status/2062427723201388875",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062424096428957904",
          "account": "babayagatwt",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:57Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:57Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "认为 OpenAI 员工发谜语预示几周后发布，非 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Every OpenAI employee suddenly starts speaking in riddles a few weeks before something launches.🫣",
          "url": "https://x.com/babayagatwt/status/2062424096428957904",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062424077533360238",
          "account": "SieversJosua",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:52Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:52Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.77,
          "semantic_reason": "询问 5.6 是否快来，是模型/发布期待，不是补偿重置。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Any little vectors pointing at 5.6 soon?",
          "url": "https://x.com/SieversJosua/status/2062424077533360238",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423970775794088",
          "account": "dzikyDonnyMaps",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:27Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:27Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "把 Tibo 推文解释为 agents + better reasoning 发布，不是 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux “lots of little vectors pointing the same way” = we’ve been cooking and it’s dropping soon. Bet it’s agents + better reasoning landing together. Excited for the drop h…",
          "url": "https://x.com/dzikyDonnyMaps/status/2062423970775794088",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423660212969897",
          "account": "nickcrow_",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:13Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:13Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "ambiguous_reset_chatter",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.72,
          "semantic_reason": "用户认为 pun 有暗示，但没有具体指向 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux The puns, I know what this is lol",
          "url": "https://x.com/nickcrow_/status/2062423660212969897",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "market_x",
          "source_label": "市场信号",
          "signal_id": "x:2062421895106924814",
          "account": "mariomoschetta_",
          "query": "\"Codex in ChatGPT\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:31:12Z",
          "updated_at": null,
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:31:12Z",
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          "score": 1,
          "semantic_role": "market_motive",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 1,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.76,
          "semantic_reason": "简短提到 Codex in ChatGPT，属于产品愿望/市场讨论，不是重置证据。",
          "text": "@OpenAIDevs @OpenAI Codex in chatGPT",
          "url": "https://x.com/mariomoschetta_/status/2062421895106924814",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
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          "signal_id": "x:2062460613088207130",
          "account": "codecowboy",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
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          "display_at": "2026-06-04T09:05:03Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "只有链接，没有可判断的 reset、限额或故障语义。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux https://t.co/2EUF2lKyUI",
          "url": "https://x.com/codecowboy/status/2062460613088207130",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062453617290834238",
          "account": "mx_zllr",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:37:15Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:37:15Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.9,
          "semantic_reason": "称赞和广告玩笑，无预测价值。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Keep up the good work! Also love the codex ad 😂",
          "url": "https://x.com/mx_zllr/status/2062453617290834238",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062447724281119230",
          "account": "GeorgeCowl",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T08:13:50Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T08:13:50Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "只是调侃 Tibo 预热风格，无限额或重置含义。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux You really enjoy edging dont you",
          "url": "https://x.com/GeorgeCowl/status/2062447724281119230",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062438023170765131",
          "account": "davidnyuwin",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:35:17Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:35:17Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.88,
          "semantic_reason": "用户问 GitHub maintenance grant/ChatGPT Pro，与 Codex reset 无关。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Long shot but I applied for a GitHub maintenance grant to get ChatGPT pro. Am still waiting 😭",
          "url": "https://x.com/davidnyuwin/status/2062438023170765131",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062433626067808548",
          "account": "Hikkimori",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:17:49Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:17:49Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.88,
          "semantic_reason": "简短反应，无可用预测内容。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Ohh really Didn’t know",
          "url": "https://x.com/Hikkimori/status/2062433626067808548",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062433113628692768",
          "account": "YossiEliaz",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:15:47Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:15:47Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.8,
          "semantic_reason": "数学梗回应 vectors，不涉及 reset。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Random walk… https://t.co/DelAqVxSyX",
          "url": "https://x.com/YossiEliaz/status/2062433113628692768",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062429678195880245",
          "account": "RanjYousif",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:02:08Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:02:08Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "数学玩笑，无预测价值。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Vectors all pointing the same way is just a scalar with extra steps.",
          "url": "https://x.com/RanjYousif/status/2062429678195880245",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062429464798155049",
          "account": "mitch_7w",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:01:17Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:01:17Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.88,
          "semantic_reason": "询问实体机器人，和 Codex reset 无关。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux When does Codex get control of a fleet of hmanoid robots and start doing cool physical world stuff?",
          "url": "https://x.com/mitch_7w/status/2062429464798155049",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062428152589115454",
          "account": "alexgrenier",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:56:04Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:56:04Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "reset_joke_or_request",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.84,
          "semantic_reason": "低价值玩笑回复，不影响预测。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux \"come together\" sounds a bit like an orgy tbh 😅🤣",
          "url": "https://x.com/alexgrenier/status/2062428152589115454",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427136687042760",
          "account": "varshneydevansh",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:52:02Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:52:02Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.84,
          "semantic_reason": "关于 ChatGPT 5.5 输出异常的玩笑/抱怨，与 Codex 限额 reset 关系弱。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux They're pointing towards GOBLIN 😭 https://t.co/YVyuraBcwT",
          "url": "https://x.com/varshneydevansh/status/2062427136687042760",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423922021392475",
          "account": "sami_babar463",
          "query": "replies:2062423629510672715",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:15Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:39:15Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.88,
          "semantic_reason": "是在追问 Tibo 对 compute 来源的回复，和 reset 无关。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux which companies though?",
          "url": "https://x.com/sami_babar463/status/2062423922021392475",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "official_x",
          "source_label": "官方 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062423629510672715",
          "account": "thsottiaux",
          "query": "from:thsottiaux since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:05Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:38:05Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 0,
          "semantic_role": "unrelated",
          "prediction_direction": "neutral",
          "prediction_relevance": 0,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.92,
          "semantic_reason": "官方回复“Sam”是在回答算力来源问题，不是新 reset 或窗口信号。",
          "text": "@sami_babar463 Sam",
          "url": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2062423629510672715",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        }
      ],
      "new_top_signals": [
        {
          "source": "community_x",
          "source_label": "社区 X",
          "signal_id": "x:2062427848879882256",
          "account": "foundmod",
          "query": "\"Codex reset\" since:2026-06-03 until:2026-06-05",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:51Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:54:51Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 5,
          "semantic_role": "reset_completion_evidence",
          "prediction_direction": "negative",
          "prediction_relevance": 5,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "用户明确感谢已发生的 Codex limit reset，强化已补偿完成，而不是未来新 reset。",
          "text": "Glad Codex reset the limit, I was about to run out of limit today and wait for 3 days without any agentic work. https://t.co/GHhg0ZZeJd",
          "url": "https://x.com/foundmod/status/2062427848879882256",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062425628133965990",
          "account": "kenwarner",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:46:02Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:46:02Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 5,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 5,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.78,
          "semantic_reason": "最强的 post-reset 正向信号：用户称重置后 usage limits 消耗很快，并猜测周末还会再 reset；但仍是单一社区猜测。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux keep up the good work y'all btw though - after the reset earlier today usage limits started draining super quick. hopefully better tomorrow but i'm guessing y'all gonn…",
          "url": "https://x.com/kenwarner/status/2062425628133965990",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062430731759140899",
          "account": "henrytran_sg",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T07:06:19Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T07:06:19Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 4,
          "semantic_role": "issue_or_limit_anomaly",
          "prediction_direction": "positive",
          "prediction_relevance": 4,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.75,
          "semantic_reason": "明确抱怨使用限额和 $100 计划体感不足，是 post-reset 限额压力信号，但仍是单条反馈。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux Please address the usage limits. Right now, the $100 plan feels almost the same as the old $20 plan.",
          "url": "https://x.com/henrytran_sg/status/2062430731759140899",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        },
        {
          "source": "x_reply",
          "source_label": "评论区",
          "signal_id": "x:2062425547238482247",
          "account": "wackaid",
          "query": "replies:2062423528927015414",
          "created_at": "2026-06-04T06:45:43Z",
          "updated_at": null,
          "resolved_at": null,
          "display_at": "2026-06-04T06:45:43Z",
          "duration_hours": null,
          "score": 4,
          "semantic_role": "reset_completion_evidence",
          "prediction_direction": "negative",
          "prediction_relevance": 4,
          "semantic_confidence": 0.86,
          "semantic_reason": "感谢已完成的 limits reset，说明当前证据主要是 reset aftermath。",
          "text": "@thsottiaux thank you for resetting the limits i pray to you every night. make a p.o box",
          "url": "https://x.com/wackaid/status/2062425547238482247",
          "is_new": true,
          "incremental_status": "new",
          "incremental_label": "本轮新增",
          "observation": false
        }
      ]
    },
    "probability_history": {
      "period": "daily",
      "window_days": 14,
      "metric": "probability_48h",
      "description": "每个自然日取北京时间当天最后一次预测，用于展示未来 24-48 小时趋势，不参与官方窗口判定；开启当天低概率通常表示官方窗口已接管或下一窗口概率已降温。",
      "points": [
        {
          "date": "2026-05-22",
          "label": "5月22日",
          "run_id": "20260522-232302",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-22T23:25:29.687661+08:00",
          "level": "medium",
          "probability_24h": 0.3,
          "probability_48h": 0.42,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-23",
          "label": "5月23日",
          "run_id": "20260523-233952",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-23T23:41:05.495170+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.05,
          "probability_48h": 0.08,
          "window_open": true
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-24",
          "label": "5月24日",
          "run_id": "20260524-235312",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-24T23:54:19.432430+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.07,
          "probability_48h": 0.14,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-25",
          "label": "5月25日",
          "run_id": "20260525-233835",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-25T23:39:43.295633+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.08,
          "probability_48h": 0.14,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-26",
          "label": "5月26日",
          "run_id": "20260526-224606",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-26T22:47:47.213515+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.08,
          "probability_48h": 0.14,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-27",
          "label": "5月27日",
          "run_id": "20260527-232803",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-27T23:30:27.596656+08:00",
          "level": "medium",
          "probability_24h": 0.4,
          "probability_48h": 0.54,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-28",
          "label": "5月28日",
          "run_id": "20260528-232410",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-28T23:26:30.094251+08:00",
          "level": "high",
          "probability_24h": 0.4,
          "probability_48h": 0.54,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-29",
          "label": "5月29日",
          "run_id": "20260529-222317",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-29T22:25:35.168579+08:00",
          "level": "medium",
          "probability_24h": 0.32,
          "probability_48h": 0.45,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-30",
          "label": "5月30日",
          "run_id": "20260530-223519",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-30T22:37:41.241405+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.11,
          "probability_48h": 0.19,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-05-31",
          "label": "5月31日",
          "run_id": "20260531-232719",
          "updated_at": "2026-05-31T23:29:39.072510+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.03,
          "probability_48h": 0.06,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-06-01",
          "label": "6月1日",
          "run_id": "20260601-215717",
          "updated_at": "2026-06-01T21:59:41.019127+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.08,
          "probability_48h": 0.14,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-06-02",
          "label": "6月2日",
          "run_id": "20260602-213716",
          "updated_at": "2026-06-02T21:39:44.541571+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.08,
          "probability_48h": 0.14,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-06-03",
          "label": "6月3日",
          "run_id": "20260603-232916",
          "updated_at": "2026-06-03T23:30:22.925318+08:00",
          "level": "high",
          "probability_24h": 0.46,
          "probability_48h": 0.55,
          "window_open": false
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-06-04",
          "label": "6月4日",
          "run_id": "20260604-170506",
          "updated_at": "2026-06-04T17:08:27.474840+08:00",
          "level": "low",
          "probability_24h": 0.11,
          "probability_48h": 0.2,
          "window_open": false
        }
      ],
      "events": [
        {
          "kind": "window_opened",
          "date": "2026-05-23",
          "label": "5月23日",
          "opened_at": "2026-05-23T08:21:33+08:00",
          "title": "长会话压缩耗额异常补偿重置",
          "guid": "codex-speed-window-2026-05-23-codex-open",
          "link": "https://codexradar.com/#codex-speed-window-2026-05-23-codex",
          "source": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2057980213854921096"
        },
        {
          "kind": "window_opened",
          "date": "2026-05-31",
          "label": "5月31日",
          "opened_at": "2026-05-31T13:59:10+08:00",
          "title": "500 万用户庆祝重置",
          "guid": "codex-speed-window-2026-05-31-500-open",
          "link": "https://codexradar.com/#codex-speed-window-2026-05-31-500",
          "source": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2060964284117782996"
        },
        {
          "kind": "reset_completed",
          "date": "2026-06-04",
          "label": "6月4日",
          "completed_at": "2026-06-04T08:25:58+08:00",
          "title": "Codex 可靠性事故补偿重置",
          "guid": "codex-speed-window-2026-06-04-codex-close",
          "link": "https://codexradar.com/#codex-speed-window-2026-06-04-codex",
          "source": "https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2062329981548802523"
        }
      ]
    },
    "cooldown": {
      "active": true,
      "reason": "距离 2026-06-04T08:25:58+08:00 的已完成 Codex 补偿重置不足 24 小时；除非出现新的长事故、持续限额失败、集中投诉或官方预告，否则应保持低概率。"
    },
    "should_notify": false,
    "updated_at": "2026-06-04T17:08:27.474840+08:00",
    "source": "prediction.json"
  },
  "monitored_at": "2026-06-04T17:08:27.638865+08:00"
}
